Obtain the data you need to make the most informed decisions by accessing our extensive portfolio of information, analytics, and expertise. Sign in to the product or service center of your choice.
The Biden administration and Democrats in Congress are gearing
up for another run at mandatory reductions of the oil and natural
gas industry's methane emissions, amid signals from the sector that
it might accept some additional controls as part of its
contribution to addressing climate change.
Given that methane has about 84 times the global warming
potential of carbon dioxide over a 20-year period, agreement is
widespread that further reductions are necessary.
The economic downturn due to the COVID-19 pandemic led to a
reduction in global methane emissions of 8-10% in 2020, the
International Energy Agency (IEA) reported in January. But that
one-time drop merely illustrates the scale of the challenge, said
Christophe McGlade, IEA senior analyst. "This magnitude is required
every year for the next decade" for the world to be on track to
meet the goals of the Paris Agreement, he said in presenting IEA's
report, "Driving Down Methane Leaks from
the Oil and Gas Industry."
The US oil industry has made major strides in controlling
methane from flaring and venting of production, as well as
detecting fugitive leaks from pipelines and infrastructure. The
American Petroleum Institute (API) said US methane emissions from
the natural gas value chain declined 14% from 1990 through 2017 (to
26.3 million mt), despite an increase in gas production of 50%. The
US Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) said last year that
methane emissions rates (methane as a percentage of oil-equivalent
production) from the five largest-producing US basins fell by 60%
from 2011 through 2018.
The API-led Environmental Partnership and
the gas industry's ONE Future Coalition allow
operators to share best practices -- identifying and fixing leaks,
testing new technology -- which they say will lead to further
improvements.
But climate activists in the US respond that the oil and gas
industry's voluntary efforts are insufficient to solve the problem
and that evidence is emerging that emissions of methane are much
higher than has been reported. The most extensive study to date was
completed by the Environmental Defense Fund (EDF) last year. Using
satellite and aerial methane sensors, EDF said it found that the
oil and gas industry emits at least 13 million mt of methane annually, or 60% higher
than the EPA estimate of 8 million mt/year.
A Harvard School of Engineering and Applied Sciences Study,
published in "Atmospheric Chemistry and
Physics" this year, found that emissions estimated by EPA's
modeling are 50-90% below actual figures.
And a report using data from EDF's Permian Methane Analysis Project found that
methane emissions from Permian Basin oil and gas operations in
April 2020 fell by more than 50% compared with March 2020 levels,
correlated with a 10% drop in oil production and co-produced gas.
However, by November, with oil and gas production back to prior
levels, methane emissions were back to pre-COVID levels as well.
This led EDF scientist and lead author David Lyon to argue
"emissions from flaring and overloaded midstream sites can no
longer fly under the policy radar. This science should put those
problems squarely in policymakers' scopes in Texas, New Mexico, and
at the federal level."
In addition, climate groups say the industry's focus on methane
intensity, rather than total methane emissions, obscures the point
that total emissions must decline, per the IEA's
recommendation.
Rethinking Obama's methane rule and Trump's
rollback
With a swing in presidential administrations and Democrats
setting the agenda in Congress, the push for large reductions in
actual methane emissions (not methane intensity levels) has
returned.
In a 20 January executive order, President Joe Biden
specifically authorized EPA to review a rule finalized in September
2020 under the Trump administration that rolled back EPA's 2016
Emission Standards for New, Reconstructed and Modified sources,
also known as "The Methane Rule."
The Methane Rule required operators of new oil and gas wells,
pipelines, and processing facilities to reduce intentional flaring
and venting, regularly inspect equipment for leaks, and fix within
30 days any leaks they discover. EPA said the cost to meet the
rules would be $360 million by 2025, with some of that offset by
the sale of captured methane (an estimated 27 billion cubic feet in
2025).
EPA projected that methane emissions would be reduced by about
43% by the 2016 rule. The rule also set the legal stage for EPA to
proceed with similar regulations for existing oil and gas
facilities, but the agency did not propose them before President
Barack Obama's term ended in 2017.
The 2020 replacement regulation,
which is due to take effect in September 2021, changes the Methane
Rule significantly. Among its features, it exempts small-production
wells; repeals methane emissions requirements for oil and gas
production and processing; and removes rules on emissions from gas
transmission pipelines and storage.
Congressional Democrats also have taken aim at the rollback of
the Methane Rule, too, introducing a resolution to invoke the
Congressional Review Act (CRA). The CRA allows for the cancellation
of regulations within 60 legislative days (days Congress is in
session) through an expedited process.
Scrapping the Trump rules would be faster through a CRA than via
a new EPA rulemaking process, pointed out Representative Diana
DeGette, Democrat-Colorado. "Time is of the essence in this fight
to combat the climate crisis," DeGette said in a statement. "If
we're serious about wanting to stave off the worst effects of
climate change before it's too late, then we absolutely have to
take steps now to reduce the amount of methane that's being
released into our atmosphere."
But the CRA route has its own dynamics that Democrats might wish
to avoid. Under the CRA, a "substantially similar" regulation
cannot be written again by a federal agency, without congressional
legislation that specifically authorizes it.
In this particular case, the Trump rollback came in the form of
two separate rules amending the 2016 rule, explained Hana Vizcarra,
staff attorney at the Harvard Law School Environmental and Energy
Law Program, in an email to IHS Markit. "In one, the Review Rule,
the EPA reinterpreted the Clean Air Act in a way that limited its
authority to regulate and, they argued, required them to cut
storage and transmission out of the rule entirely. The other, the
Reconsideration Rule, dealt with technical aspects of the
requirements," she wrote.
To greatly simplify the situation, Vizcarra said that the
current proposed CRA resolution would only rescind the Review Rule,
and "because this was an amendment to the 2016 rule, its
disapproval would mean the regulations would revert back to the
2016 status quo." But the Reconsideration Rule elements would stand
as modifications to that 2016 rule.
Industry's stance evolving
In some ways, the industry sees eye-to-eye with the federal
government, such as the need to plug abandoned wells that leak
methane. EPA reported that the approximately 3.2 million abandoned wells in the US are
leaking about 7-8 million mt/year of carbon dioxide-equivalent,
mostly methane.
At his first press conference on 25 March, Biden spoke about
putting "pipefitters and miners to work capping those wells at the
same price that they were charged to dig those wells," and he
incorporated that idea in his American Jobs Plan rolled out on 27
March.
When it comes to operating wells, industry's response is more
mixed.
In comments when API released its "State of the Industry" update
on 13 January, CEO Mike Sommers said API will work with the
administration on methane reduction. "We believe that this
administration is going to want our industry at the table to make
sure that they can put forward the most effective regulation
possible in this space that can actually survive judicial
scrutiny," he said.
Sommers expanded on this position in March, when he spoke about
API's willingness to "advance direct regulation of methane from new
and existing sources," and added: "We support cost-effective
policies and direct regulation that achieve methane emission
reductions from new and existing sources across the supply
chain."
API's evolving position matches the position of some large oil
companies, such as ExxonMobil and BP, which both said they support
national methane regulations during the Trump administration's
policy review. But the Independent Petroleum Association of
America, which represents small producers, said that it still
supports the 2020 regulations, which it said provide much-needed
relief from what would have been "burdensome, costly
regulations."
API also has said it could support Congress setting a price on
carbon.
While such a wide-ranging measure seems unlikely to gain enough
support from legislators, a bill that would set a fee only on
methane emissions has been introduced in the Senate. The Methane
Emissions Reduction Act, proposed by Democrats Sheldon Whitehouse, Cory
Booker, and Brian Schatz, would mandate the Department of the
Treasury to set fees on oil and gas producers' methane emissions
beginning in 2023.
API said in an email to IHS Markit on 7 April, "This legislation
is inconsistent with our climate policy principles, as well as our
support for the direct regulation of methane from new and existing
sources and an economy-wide carbon price policy to reduce CO2
emissions across all sectors of the economy instead of targeting
one particular industry."
There are other congressional actions that could affect methane
emissions.
DeGette sponsored the Methane Waste Prevention Act of
2021, which would ban routine flaring and venting nationwide.
This act would require EPA and the Bureau of Land Management to set
standards for the oil and gas industry to reduce methane emissions
from 2012 levels by 65% by 2025 and 90% by 2030. The bill was
included as part of the Democrats' CLEAN Future Act, a
comprehensive piece of energy legislation that seeks to reduce
power sector GHG emissions by 50% from 2005 levels by 2030, and to
net zero by 2050.
State activity
There's one more factor to consider, and it is potentially
significant in controlling methane: state regulations. Oil and gas
production is primarily regulated at the state level, and both
Colorado and New Mexico have enacted new rules in the last few
months that will tighten their emissions standards.
The New Mexico Oil Conservation
Commission finalized a rule 26 March that took two years to
complete. This rule will tighten the limits on methane emissions
across the entire supply chain to 2% by 2026 through banning
routine flaring and venting, imposing new reporting requirements,
requiring increased frequency of inspections, and setting tighter
timelines for repairing leaks.
Colorado's new regulations,
which come into effect on 1 May, require zero-emission pneumatic
controllers, which open and close valves at production facilities
and well sites, for both new and modified operations. The nonprofit
Conservation Colorado hailed the rule for its first-in-the-nation
retrofitting of an estimated 100,000 existing controllers within
the next 24 months.