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Cabling is set to be laid this week off Stavanger, Norway for
the TetraSpar floating wind turbine demonstrator backed by
investors like Shell, German energy company RWE, Japanese utility
TEPCO, and supported by Bill Gates' Mission Innovation
initiative.
The project, which seeks to solve floating wind's manufacturing
cost barriers, is the brainchild of Henrik Stiesdal, a pioneer in
the wind turbine industry for 45 years creating technology for both
Vestas and Siemens, and now CEO of Danish climate technology
company Stiesdal. Net-Zero Business Daily spoke
with Stiesdal in early August about potential markets for
TetraSpar.
Net-Zero Business Daily: What are the initial markets
for floating wind?
Stiesdal: The expectation is that bottom-fixed
[turbines] will go up out to about 60 meters and floating will
commence [in depths] somewhere around 50 meters and be able to go
out to whatever. There are plans for floating projects at up to
2,000 meters, but of course, the initial market will be where it's
cheapest, and it's cheapest around 100 meters or 200 meters.
Typically, 60 meters is the upper limit for bottom-fixed
foundations. You have oil and natural gas installations in deeper
waters, you could also do offshore foundations for wind turbines in
the same way jacketed foundations [for offshore oil and gas
platforms] are done, but they will become prohibitively
expensive.
Net-Zero Business Daily: What are the potential markets
for the TetraSpar floating wind turbine?
Stiesdal: Not Denmark. The cradle of offshore
wind is not a market for the next step, because there is simply way
too much shallow water to need floating wind. Norway and
Scandinavia are markets big time. Scotland, Ireland, and England
have quite substantial areas that are good for bottom-fixed, but if
they want to reach their ambitions, they are going to need
floating.
France, big time, because France cannot at all meet any big
expectations on offshore wind with bottom-fixed. Spain and
Portugal, also big time, even though the current market conditions
are not very conducive to offshore wind. Ultimately, they can
become significant markets. Then in the Mediterranean, Italy and
Greece, where realistically you can only build floating wind, are
obvious candidates.
In the broader context, the classical markets are South Korea,
Taiwan, and Japan, because again they can do some bottom-fixed, but
if they want to get to the level of penetration that they would
like to, it will require floating. And then, of course, markets
like the US, where on the West Coast, there is no way they can do
bottom-fixed, it just gets too deep too soon. On the East Coast,
they can do huge amounts of bottom-fixed, but many of the leases
that are being bid for now are actually inclined slopes, so it's
convenient to do bottom-fixed at one end closest to shore, and then
it is very questionable to do bottom-fixed, so you are more or less
into floating at the deep-end of some of the leases.
When we look at the market, we think in the first instance of
Scotland, then we think of France, we think of Italy, and then we
think of South Korea, Taiwan, and Japan, then at a later date,
California and the West Coast of the US.
Net-Zero Business Daily: What factors cause floating
wind turbines to cost so much right now?
Stiesdal: There are several factors, and the
most important one is that floating turbines are not properly
industrialized. Wind power has become very, very cheap. Solar power
has become very, very cheap. And the interesting thing, when you
work with research as I do, is that you tend to emphasize the
impact of higher efficiency. But the most important single factor
for cost is industrialization, mass production, and systematic
application of repetitive processes.
Net-Zero Business Daily: Can you give an example of how
manufacturing costs play into the levelized cost of energy
(LCOE)?
Stiesdal: If you take solar panels, the first
time I saw a full-blown sort of real solar farm-like panel was 43
years ago, in the US, at a place called Sandia National
Laboratories that was one of the old nuclear bomb facilities from
the Second World War. At some point, [Sandia's leaders] discovered
that there were other things in the world than nuclear bombs, and
started looking at energy and then wind big time in the US in the
[1970s].
I was interested in wind, but I could also not help discussing
the solar panels they had. At that time, they cost somewhat over
$100 per watt, and now they cost somewhat less than $1 per watt,
but the fundamental technology is the same. It's not done in batch
production in Silicon Valley, it's done in big, automated factories
in China. The same goes for the turbines. They used to cost, in
today's money, several million dollars per megawatt. Now, they cost
you $700,000 per megawatt. That means that one of the strongest
levers for getting the cost down is mass production.
When it comes to floating foundations, it is as if we have taken
the practices of shipbuilding or the offshore oil and gas industry
and applied it to do these floating structures, and this is not
mass production. That is why we are putting a highly industrialized
piece of equipment, the wind turbine, on top of something is not
industrialized at all and that is the main cost driver. In our
project, we try to change that.
The other reason for industrialization is that floating wind is
still a new field of application, even though it is now 12 years
ago that the first floating turbine was commissioned. It is still
fairly new, and that means that there are many risks. People
working in this field need to be careful about those risks and need
to have safety margins.
And then thirdly, when it comes to the surrounding elements like
marine operations, warning systems, cable systems, and so on,
they're also not industrialized. So, we are simply at a different
stage of the development. And it will go the same way as it has
gone with onshore turbines and as it is going with bottom-fixed
offshore wind: the prices will come down as the industry
matures.
Net-Zero Business Daily: How does manufacturing of
foundations for TetraSpar differ from other floating wind turbines'
manufacturing?
Stiesdal: In our project, we're simply trying
to leapfrog the development stages by demonstrating that you can
actually industrialize foundations by applying the same
methodologies you do in offshore wind turbines. So, where
traditionally you would build them for oil and gas in shipyards or
fabrication yards, we built them like you build offshore wind
turbines, which means that everything is made in a factory, then in
the port the pre-made components are assembled, and that is the
only thing that happens in the port. You do not do any
manufacturing or welding in the port. And that is why we are
different than the mainstream.
The demo unit we are speaking about here was manufactured in the
biggest wind turbine tower factory in Denmark. To be quite frank,
we are simply parasites on all the learning they did on towers.
They are doing modules for the floaters that look like tower
modules, and that means they were easy to do for somebody who has
done thousands of tower modules.
The trick is that you use a tower factory. That is what will
happen if we go to other countries. Then it would be the local
tower manufacturer who will do the components. Wind turbine towers
are a highly industrialized set of equipment that has been refined
over decades. Now you have a number of factories that are competing
neck-to-neck on cost and quality, and that means that all the
benefits of serial manufacturing are already there.
Net-Zero Business Daily: Apart from the manufacturing,
what is the main design element making TetraSpar
unique?
Stiesdal: At the end of 2014, I retired from
Siemens Wind Power, but wanted to do something else, something
difficult, and one of the difficult things was that you have a
special floating wind turbine configuration called a spar that has
the best dynamic behavior. So, in that way, it's attractive, but
the problem is that, because it has the center of gravity way below
the center of buoyancy, it tends to have a very big draft. So, if
our floating wind turbine is big, 100 meters, you simply cannot
take it out of a normal port, because no port is 10 meters deep. …
Then I figured out what you could do is have your big weight lifted
when you were in the port, and when you sail out to where you want
to be, you could lower the weight, ballasted. Then you have your
spar, but you could take it out of a normal port. That is the
challenge I addressed with this concept. There are two new things
with this: One is the industrial manufacturing, and the other is
this keel that we can lower to get stability. That is what we are
demonstrating in the demo unit up in Norway.
Net-Zero Business Daily: What do you think of the
floating wind tenders, for example in Scotland, and
regulations?
Stiesdal: National government regulators should
heed the advice of people who have tried out various structures,
because they are not all doing the tenders in the right way. The
most important single factor for making floating wind happen is
stability if you are a market emerging on your journey with
offshore wind and you have not really done much before. One of the
most important ones is that there is a policy, and bidders can
trust that things will happen as you say, and that your regulatory
arrangements are stable.
The other thing that you need is an offtake arrangement. So,
there is a system that can take your power, because to be
commercially viable, offshore projects tend to be big and they need
to be able to export power to a point of connection on this shore,
and there is actually a working connection that is able to
distribute the power and get rid of it at a decent price.
And thirdly, you have something we call a "one-stop shop," where
there is one regulatory body that is offshore wind developers'
connection point. In Denmark, it is the Danish Energy Agency, and
[the equivalent] under the energy department in the UK is the Crown
Estate.
The one-stop shop means that if you need to speak about your
permit, or the leasing process, or what to do with the fishing
interests, there's always one player in the game, whereas in other
countries, offshore wind developers have been active with 20 or 30
different regulatory bodies, and the burden of that is just too
large. Properties may get built, but it's not very attractive.
These are very important: stability, offtake arrangements, and
the one-stop shop setup. What I say may sound obvious, but it is
actually not obvious. People tend to think about other things
coming ahead of this—local supply chain, stuff like that. But
these are the most important things in my opinion.
Then, of course, you need to be able to able to
navigate—with the support of your one-stop shop—the
interests of other stakeholders, because there are many
stakeholders when you go into the sea territory. There are the
obvious ones, like the fishing interests and the shipping
interests. There are also very often military interests, and you
need to be able to navigate environmental players, and so on. And
stakeholder management is very much favored by having a system with
this one body that knows what needs to be addressed and can help
you with addressing it.
Posted 16 August 2021 by Cristina Brooks, Senior Journalist, Climate and Sustainability