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As an extension of a "whole-of-government strategy" to protect
consumers and the economy from the impacts of climate change, the
roadmap places improving the financial system's ability to identify
risk atop the agenda.
It builds on the 20 May Executive Order on Climate-Related
Financial Risk that set in motion studies of financial
risk by several agencies, and placed GHG emissions as a factor in
federal contracting and climate risk into long-term budgeting.
"Extreme weather has cost Americans an additional $600 billion
in physical and economic damages over the past five years alone.
Climate-related risks hidden in workers' retirement plans have
already cost American retirees billions in lost pension dollars.
Climate change poses a systemic risk to our economy and our
financial system, and we must take decisive action to mitigate its
impacts," the administration said in announcing the roadmap.
The roadmap will complement investors' growing demands on
companies to address climate issues, which continues to intensify
as COP26 draws near.
S&P Dow Jones announced on 18 October it will remove US
energy producer NextEra Energy and European energy firms Drax Group
and Enel from its Global Clean Energy Index, in an effort "to
enhance index diversification, improve transparency, further reduce
the index's carbon footprint, and align the index methodology with
market trends and sustainable investing norms."
With this new roadmap, IHS Markit Climate and Cleantech
Executive Director Peter Gardett said the government is playing
catchup, to some extent. "Climate risk is now a focus of intense
interest among investors, and it is the concern that climate risk
is not appropriately accounted for in government guarantees and
processes that is driving these changes," he said.
"Investors see the risk, and they need help from the federal
government in creating mechanisms that allow that risk to be
reflected in market functions in which the federal government plays
a key role," Gardett said.
Meanwhile, investors keep moving their money away from risk
sectors most immediately exposed. This week, the Ford Foundation
announced its $10-billion endowment will no longer hold stock in
fossil fuel companies. It follows September announcements by Harvard University ($52-billion
endowment) and the MacArthur Foundation ($8 billion) that they will
divest their fossil fuel assets, and in August, the New York State
Public Employee Retirement Fund, the third-largest public pension
plan in the country, said it may restrict investment in firms it
feels are not adequately planning for the energy transition.
As part of the government's role in protecting investors, it
will train its attention on climate risks, said National Climate
Advisor Gina McCarthy at a press briefing to unveil the roadmap on
14 October. "Climate change poses a risk to our economy and to the
lives and livelihoods of Americans, and we must act now," she said.
"This roadmap isn't just about protecting our financial
system—it's about protecting people, their paychecks, and their
prosperity."
Securities and Exchange Commission
The Securities and Exchange
Commission (SEC) has been supporting investor-driven actions on
climate risk, and the new roadmap states that the SEC is expected
by the end of 2021 to propose the first-ever mandatory disclosure
rules for environmental, social, and governance (ESG) risks.
"A lot of companies are making these disclosures already, with
more realizing in the last year or two that this is a priority. But
they need guidance on what to disclose, and the SEC's involvement
is a good sign," said Jack Belcher, principal with policy analysts
Cornerstone, which recently launched the Center for ESG and
Sustainability (CESG) in conjunction with Columbia University's
International Research Institute for Climate and Society.
In September, the SEC told public companies they must adhere to existing
guidelines on climate risk disclosure, which was seen as a
clear indication of the agency's intentions in this area. Those
guidelines were written in 2010 and do not carry the force of a
regulation.
Mandatory disclosures by the SEC could have a significant
influence on capital flows, said Gardett. "It would allow investors
to begin to 'see' the problem and opportunity sets in ways that
easily flow into asset pricing and thereby into capital
allocations," he said.
Belcher said he thinks the new rules "will take a measured
approach," starting with a focus on climate risk, before expanding
to the full range of ESG matters.
In a review of comment letters to the SEC on the topic, Belcher
said Cornerstone found "the vast majority of companies would like
to see disclosures done (if they are made mandatory) under an
existing framework, with many citing the Task Force on Climate-Related
Financial Disclosures (TCFD) and Sustainable Accounting
Standards Board as the preferred frameworks."
Corporations expressed "strong support for industry-specific
reporting standards," said Belcher, and expressed concern about
mandatory Scope 3 emissions reporting.
The TCFD is perhaps the best-known developer of voluntary
reporting standards. In its 2021 Status Report, published
on 14 October, the TCFD said that disclosure in line with its
recommendations has grown nine percentage points from 2019-2020,
and, for the first time, more than 50% of companies reviewed
disclosed their climate-related risks and opportunities. The TCFD
said that supporters of the standards now represent more than $25
trillion of combined market capitalization, double the level of a
year earlier.
"There is clear and growing consensus among investors and
regulators on the importance of climate-related disclosure and the
need for standardized, transparent data to support capital
allocation decisions," said Mary Schapiro, head of the TCFD
secretariat.
What risk reporting the new SEC rules will require is one
question, but another is to whom they will apply. "When it comes to
climate disclosure regulation, it seems possible-even likely-that
mandatory SEC reporting standards will apply only to SEC-registered
firms," wrote Meredith Fowlie, a UC Berkeley
professor in the Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics,
and faculty director at the Energy Institute at Haas, which is
affiliated with Berkeley.
This could undermine the benefits of the rules, Fowlie said. "If
only public firms face mandatory reporting requirements, this will
create an incentive to transfer assets and activities with large
carbon footprints (however these are measured) from public to
private firms," she wrote.
While the SEC is focused on matters under its authority, a
broader assessment of the government's role in driving the
financial sector to greater climate risk awareness could come from
a report by the Financial Stability Oversight Council, which could
be released this week.
Requested by Biden as part of his May executive order, the
report is expected to address improvements in climate-related
disclosures by corporations, and how financial regulators can
incorporate climate risk into their supervisory activities.
These matters will likely be well-received by investors, as
indicated by a recent survey by the Institute for Shareholder Services
(ISS) of institutional investors around the world, released on
1 October.
ISS found 88% say they expect "clear and appropriately detailed
disclosure of [a corporation's] climate change emissions
governance, strategy, risk mitigation efforts, and metrics and
targets." Also, 72% say that a company should have a long-term plan
for achieving Scope 1, 2, and 3 emissions targets in line with the
Paris Agreement, with 63% saying that its strategy and capital
expenditure program should demonstrate that intent.
Retirement program, insurance guidelines
Another part of the Biden roadmap is the rule the Department of Labor (DOL)
proposed on 13 October that would amend federal retirement plan
regulations known as ERISA to reinstate the permitted use of
climate change and ESG considerations by advisors.
The Trump administration had severely limited consideration of
those factors in a series of new regulations finalized late in
2020, arguing that the risks cannot be well-defined and therefore
do not meet the standards for ERISA.
Under Biden's instruction, DOL decided on 10 March not to enforce any violations
of the Trump administration's ERISA rules. The proposed rule goes a
step further by presenting advisors with a "safe harbor" for
incorporating assessments of climate change and ESG into investment
recommendations. "Climate change and other ESG factors are often
material… in the assessment of investment risks and returns," the
proposed rule states.
ISS said in a statement that the ERISA proposal will "remove
unnecessary burdens on the selection of ESG investments and confirm
that climate risk and other ESG factors may appropriately be
considered under the fiduciary duty of prudence."
Other measures
Yet another aspect of the "whole-of-government approach"
unveiled in the roadmap is to direct the federal government's
approximately $650 billion in contracts each year towards
lower-carbon choices.
The Federal Acquisition Regulatory
Council this month published a notice that it is seeking input
to help federal agencies incorporate GHG considerations in
purchasing and in raising climate risk disclosure from
purchasers.
"How the government spends its money can make a huge difference,
though federal contracting is a blunt tool with a long history of
poor correlation with intended results," Gardett observed.
Federal lending and underwriting, such as that performed by the
Department of Agriculture, the Department of the Treasury, and the
Department of Housing and Urban Development, is discussed in the
roadmap as well.
Under Biden's orders, those agencies and others will in the
future include climate risk standards as part of their lending
practices, and they will also direct lending to support community
resilience in the face of climate change.
Reaction
Activist group Evergreen Action called preference in federal
contracting for low-emissions providers a "promising" step, but
said: "To truly mitigate the threat that climate change poses to
our financial system, the administration must address the drivers
of climate financial risk…. The White House must take steps to end
government financial support for fossil fuels, and use all possible
tools to ensure the private sector does the same."
The attitude of Evergreen Action that incentives such as new
lending standards are necessary, but not sufficient, steps towards
reducing US carbon emissions has also been expressed by clean
energy trade associations, Congressional Democrats, climate
advocates, and others.
This can be seen through decisions such as the use of the
Congressional Review Act to cancel Trump's methane regulations on
the oil and natural gas industry and reopen them for the US
Environmental Protection Agency to rewrite with stricter
standards.
Democrats also have pointed to the FY2022 budget and the Build Back Better
infrastructure bill as key components for driving investment in a
clean energy future, and some versions of those bills have included
methane taxes and a cost-of-carbon factor.
These types of requirements would be welcome because disclosure
"is no substitute for direct regulation of greenhouse gases," noted
UC Berkeley's Fowlie.
Posted 20 October 2021 by Kevin Adler, Chief Editor